State of the market
The market's state in plain words first, then all 76 charts on a map and as a year. Each is set against its own past; open one for the whole chart.
Decline
32Cycle index
Bearish−12 in 4 weeks14 signals
13 read stronger than usual for them, 29 weaker. 11 sit in the middle of their own four years. Four weeks before: 27 stronger, 12 weaker.
WeakStrongeach chart against its own last four years
Bitcoin now
More charts (Bitcoin now)- Bitcoin priceBitcoin, in candles$76,707—24h−4.2%7 daysStrongAbove 62% of its readings since 2022The past year, inside its 4-year range
- 30-day changeBTC returns matrix−9.5%WeakHow much the price moved in 30 daysAbove 16% of its readings since 2022
- 1-year changeBitcoin vs. the rest−31%WeakHow much the price moved in a yearAbove 18% of its readings since 2022
- From the all-time highDrawdown from the high−38.5%MiddleHow far the price is below its recordAbove 42% of its readings since 2022
- Fear & GreedFear & Greed history37WeakMarket mood: 0 is fear, 100 is greedAbove 29% of its readings since 2022
Price against its averages
More charts (Price against its averages)- Mayer multiple×1.05MiddlePrice against its 200-day averageAbove 42% of its readings since 2022
- 1-year averageBitcoin: 365-day MA−1%WeakPrice against the past year's averageAbove 31% of its readings since 2022
- 200-week average200-week MA heatmap+14%WeakPrice against its roughly 4-year averageAbove 29% of its readings since 2022
- Long-run trendLong-term power law−46%WeakPrice against its all-time trend lineAbove 12% of its readings since 2022
Who is in profit
More charts (Who is in profit)- MVRVMVRV ratio×1.42WeakPrice against what the average coin costAbove 30% of its readings since 2022
- Recent buyersShort-term holder MVRV×1.01MiddlePrice against what recent buyers paidAbove 42% of its readings since 2022
- Coins in profitSupply in profit60%WeakShare of coins worth more than they costAbove 15% of its readings since 2022
- Miners' payPuell multiple×0.89MiddleMiners' daily pay against the past yearAbove 40% of its readings since 2022
Beyond bitcoin
- Bitcoin's shareDominance60.0%Strong· since 2025Bitcoin's slice of all crypto's valueAbove 75% of its readings since 2025
- Stablecoin dollarsThe dollar float$292.6BVery weak· since 2025Dollars held as coins like USDT and USDCAbove 10% of its readings since 2025
- Money supplyM2 money supply$23.41TVery strong· Last: Sep 2026US dollars in cash, deposits and money fundsAbove 100% of its readings since 2022
- Gold$3,937StrongOne ounce of gold, in US dollarsAbove 73% of its readings since 2022
Price and cycles
8- Bitcoin, in candles$76,707Above 62% of its readings since 2022
- BTC market cap$1.48TAbove 62% of its readings since 2022
- Halving cycles64.0%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Seasonality−13.6%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- RSI and signals33.8Above 8% of its readings since 2022
- BTC returns matrix−9.5%Above 16% of its readings since 2022
- Buy-and-hold heatmap91%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Drawdown from the high−38.5%Above 42% of its readings since 2022
Price models
11- 2-Year MA multiplier×0.86Above 28% of its readings since 2022
- Bitcoin: 365-day MA−1%Above 31% of its readings since 2022
- 200-week MA heatmap+14%Above 29% of its readings since 2022
- Mayer multiple×1.05Above 42% of its readings since 2022
- Mayer multiple bands×1.05Above 42% of its readings since 2022
- Pi Cycle Top×0.49Above 31% of its readings since 2022
- Golden ratio multiplier×1.01Above 32% of its readings since 2022
- Rainbow chartFire saleAbove 18% of its readings since 2022
- Stock-to-flow×0.12Above 12% of its readings since 2022
- Long-term power law−46%Above 12% of its readings since 2022
- Logarithmic growth corridor6%Above 10% of its readings since 2022
On-chain valuation
11- MVRV ratio×1.42Above 30% of its readings since 2022
- MVRV momentum+0.006Above 44% of its readings since 2022
- MVRV Z-Score0.74Above 36% of its readings since 2022
- Long-term holder MVRV×1.57Above 30% of its readings since 2022
- Short-term holder MVRV×1.01Above 42% of its readings since 2022
- Realized price$54,001Above 83% of its readings since 2022
- Holder cost basis$75,878Above 62% of its readings since 2022
- Net unrealized profit / loss0.30Above 32% of its readings since 2022
- Reserve Risk1.2×10⁻³Above 23% of its readings since 2022
- RHODL Ratio0.113Above 20% of its readings since 2022
- Thermocap multiple×16.2Above 41% of its readings since 2022
Profit and loss
4Holders and supply
5- Where the 21 million live95.75%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Left to mine892,759 BTCToday onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Coin and address distribution35.6%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Long- and short-term holder supply81.3%Above 75% of its readings since 2022
- HODL waves64.0%Above 49% of its readings since 2022
Mining
2Market and sentiment
3Institutions
4- Strategy's bitcoin849,327 BTCAbove 100% of its readings since 2022Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
- Spot ETF net inflow+$3.5BLast: Aug 2026No weekly record to rank it against
- US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve198,012 BTCAbove 91% of its readings since 2022Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
- El Salvador Reserve7,824 BTCAbove 100% of its readings since 2022Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
Altcoins
11- Market map$2.60TAbove 49% of its readings since 2025
- MoversRAIN+11.4%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Below the peak−44%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Turnover1.7%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Altcoin season index45Above 56% of its readings since 2025
- Dominance60.0%Above 75% of its readings since 2025
- Supply: ether, BNB, Solana122.18M ETHAbove 100% of its readings since 2022Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
- BNB burns131.51M BNBAbove 1% of its readings since 2022Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
- Who holds ETH, BNB, SOL7.8%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Developers by chain8,551Above 2% of its readings since 2022
- BitMine's ether (Tom Lee)6.06M ETHAbove 100% of its readings since 2025Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
Stablecoins
5- Stablecoin supply$301.5BToday onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Dollar pegUSDA−788 bpToday onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Where the dollars liveEthereum51%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- What backs the dollars90%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- The dollar float$292.6BAbove 10% of its readings since 2025
TradFi
12- Bitcoin vs. the rest−31%Above 18% of its readings since 2022
- Gold$3,937Above 73% of its readings since 2022
- Bitcoin in gold19.5 ozAbove 44% of its readings since 2022
- US dollar index121.67Above 66% of its readings since 2022High is weak here, so its colours are turned
- Treasury yields4.94%Above 96% of its readings since 2022High is weak here, so its colours are turned
- Yield curve (10Y − 2Y)+0.38Above 65% of its readings since 2022
- Fed funds rate3.88%Above 27% of its readings since 2022High is weak here, so its colours are turned
- Fed balance sheet$6.75TAbove 36% of its readings since 2022
- M2 money supply$23.41TAbove 100% of its readings since 2022
- US inflation (CPI)3.7%Above 80% of its readings since 2022High is weak here, so its colours are turned
- Oil (WTI)$103.37Above 97% of its readings since 2022
- US federal debt$40.59TAbove 100% of its readings since 2022Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
17 charts, each set against its own last four years: green is stronger than usual for that chart, red is weaker, grey is the middle. Map and Year show all 76.
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Not financial advice. This board reads the past; it does not forecast prices. Do your own research (DYOR).
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