Yield curve (10Y − 2Y) chart — TradFi

Yield curve (10Y − 2Y)

Ten-year minus two-year. Below zero the curve is inverted, which has preceded every US recession of the last half-century — by a lag nobody has managed to time.

Not inverted

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How this is built

Ten-year minus two-year. Below zero the curve is inverted, which has preceded every US recession of the last half-century — by a lag nobody has managed to time.

FormulaUS10Y − US2Y

Data

FRED
US macro series — the dollar index, yields, the Fed, money supply, inflation and oil.

The series is shown as its provider publishes it. Perly draws the chart and adds nothing to the numbers; the data remains the provider's.