State of the market
The market's state in plain words first, then all 76 charts on a map and as a year. Each is set against its own past; open one for the whole chart.
Decline
39Cycle index
Bearish−4 in 4 weeks14 signals
15 read stronger than usual for them, 16 weaker. 22 sit in the middle of their own four years. Four weeks before: 23 stronger, 14 weaker.
WeakStrongeach chart against its own last four years
Bitcoin now
More charts (Bitcoin now)- Bitcoin priceBitcoin, in candles$82,054—24h−1.3%7 daysStrongAbove 68% of its readings since 2022The past year, inside its 4-year range
- 30-day changeBTC returns matrix+1.1%MiddleHow much the price moved in 30 daysAbove 47% of its readings since 2022
- 1-year changeBitcoin vs. the rest−26%WeakHow much the price moved in a yearAbove 24% of its readings since 2022
- From the all-time highDrawdown from the high−34.2%MiddleHow far the price is below its recordAbove 48% of its readings since 2022
- Fear & GreedFear & Greed history55MiddleMarket mood: 0 is fear, 100 is greedAbove 56% of its readings since 2022
Price against its averages
More charts (Price against its averages)- Mayer multiple×1.13MiddlePrice against its 200-day averageAbove 57% of its readings since 2022
- 1-year averageBitcoin: 365-day MA+5%WeakPrice against the past year's averageAbove 33% of its readings since 2022
- 200-week average200-week MA heatmap+23%WeakPrice against its roughly 4-year averageAbove 38% of its readings since 2022
- Long-run trendLong-term power law−41%WeakPrice against its all-time trend lineAbove 19% of its readings since 2022
Who is in profit
More charts (Who is in profit)- MVRVMVRV ratio×1.52MiddlePrice against what the average coin costAbove 42% of its readings since 2022
- Recent buyersShort-term holder MVRV×1.10StrongPrice against what recent buyers paidAbove 68% of its readings since 2022
- Coins in profitSupply in profit69%WeakShare of coins worth more than they costAbove 33% of its readings since 2022
- Miners' payPuell multiple×1.05MiddleMiners' daily pay against the past yearAbove 50% of its readings since 2022
Beyond bitcoin
- Bitcoin's shareDominance59.6%Strong· since 2025Bitcoin's slice of all crypto's valueAbove 85% of its readings since 2025
- Stablecoin dollarsThe dollar float$297.7BMiddle· since 2025Dollars held as coins like USDT and USDCAbove 46% of its readings since 2025
- Money supplyM2 money supply$23.34TVery strong· Last: Aug 2026US dollars in cash, deposits and money fundsAbove 100% of its readings since 2022
- Gold$4,145StrongOne ounce of gold, in US dollarsAbove 81% of its readings since 2022
Price and cycles
8- Bitcoin, in candles$82,054Above 68% of its readings since 2022
- BTC market cap$1.58TAbove 69% of its readings since 2022
- Halving cycles63.0%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Seasonality−7.6%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- RSI and signals48.9Above 40% of its readings since 2022
- BTC returns matrix+1.1%Above 47% of its readings since 2022
- Buy-and-hold heatmap92%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Drawdown from the high−34.2%Above 48% of its readings since 2022
Price models
11- 2-Year MA multiplier×0.92Above 38% of its readings since 2022
- Bitcoin: 365-day MA+5%Above 33% of its readings since 2022
- 200-week MA heatmap+23%Above 38% of its readings since 2022
- Mayer multiple×1.13Above 57% of its readings since 2022
- Mayer multiple bands×1.13Above 57% of its readings since 2022
- Pi Cycle Top×0.48Above 30% of its readings since 2022
- Golden ratio multiplier×1.07Above 34% of its readings since 2022
- Rainbow chartBUY!Above 48% of its readings since 2022
- Stock-to-flow×0.13Above 17% of its readings since 2022
- Long-term power law−41%Above 19% of its readings since 2022
- Logarithmic growth corridor11%Above 17% of its readings since 2022
On-chain valuation
11- MVRV ratio×1.52Above 42% of its readings since 2022
- MVRV momentum+0.066Above 57% of its readings since 2022
- MVRV Z-Score0.92Above 42% of its readings since 2022
- Long-term holder MVRV×1.67Above 41% of its readings since 2022
- Short-term holder MVRV×1.10Above 68% of its readings since 2022
- Realized price$53,881Above 83% of its readings since 2022
- Holder cost basis$74,560Above 62% of its readings since 2022
- Net unrealized profit / loss0.34Above 42% of its readings since 2022
- Reserve Risk4.3×10⁻⁶Above 27% of its readings since 2022
- RHODL Ratio0.107Above 20% of its readings since 2022
- Thermocap multiple×17.4Above 48% of its readings since 2022
Profit and loss
4Holders and supply
5- Where the 21 million live95.72%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Left to mine899,181 BTCToday onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Coin and address distribution35.7%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Long- and short-term holder supply81.8%Above 79% of its readings since 2022
- HODL waves63.6%Above 48% of its readings since 2022
Mining
2Market and sentiment
3Institutions
4- Strategy's bitcoin848,517 BTCAbove 100% of its readings since 2022Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
- Spot ETF net inflow+$3.5BLast: Aug 2026No weekly record to rank it against
- US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve198,012 BTCAbove 90% of its readings since 2022Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
- El Salvador Reserve7,811 BTCAbove 100% of its readings since 2022Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
Altcoins
11- Market map$2.76TAbove 58% of its readings since 2025
- MoversWLD+11.6%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Below the peak−41%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Turnover1.5%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Altcoin season index58Above 85% of its readings since 2025
- Dominance59.6%Above 85% of its readings since 2025
- Supply: ether, BNB, Solana122.14M ETHAbove 100% of its readings since 2022Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
- BNB burns131.51M BNBAbove 0% of its readings since 2022Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
- Who holds ETH, BNB, SOL8.0%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Developers by chain7,534Above 1% of its readings since 2022
- BitMine's ether (Tom Lee)6.04M ETHAbove 100% of its readings since 2025Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
Stablecoins
5- Stablecoin supply$307.9BToday onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Dollar pegUSDA−514 bpToday onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- Where the dollars liveEthereum51%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- What backs the dollars89%Today onlyNo weekly record to rank it against
- The dollar float$297.7BAbove 46% of its readings since 2025
TradFi
12- Bitcoin vs. the rest−26%Above 24% of its readings since 2022
- Gold$4,145Above 81% of its readings since 2022
- Bitcoin in gold19.8 ozAbove 46% of its readings since 2022
- US dollar index121.40Above 60% of its readings since 2022High is weak here, so its colours are turned
- Treasury yields5.09%Above 99% of its readings since 2022High is weak here, so its colours are turned
- Yield curve (10Y − 2Y)+0.35Above 62% of its readings since 2022
- Fed funds rate3.88%Above 27% of its readings since 2022High is weak here, so its colours are turned
- Fed balance sheet$6.76TAbove 39% of its readings since 2022
- M2 money supply$23.34TAbove 100% of its readings since 2022
- US inflation (CPI)3.7%Above 78% of its readings since 2022High is weak here, so its colours are turned
- Oil (WTI)$101.91Above 97% of its readings since 2022
- US federal debt$40.39TAbove 100% of its readings since 2022Neither high nor low is stronger here, so it takes no colour
17 charts, each set against its own last four years: green is stronger than usual for that chart, red is weaker, grey is the middle. Map and Year show all 76.
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Not financial advice. This board reads the past; it does not forecast prices. Do your own research (DYOR).
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